The Battle for 2027: Power, Politics, and the Struggle for Nigeria’s Future – Dr Kenny Odugbemi

 As Nigeria inches closer to the 2027 presidential election, the political landscape is heating up with intense power struggles, strategic alliances, and the ever-present shadow of hegemonic dominance. The contest for the nation’s highest office is not just about governance—it’s about survival, influence, and the future of Nigeria’s democracy.

For decades, Nigeria’s political scene has been shaped by elite dominance, party loyalty, and identity politics. The 2027 elections promise to be no different, as the country’s top political gladiators maneuver for supremacy. The ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), the opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), and the rising Labour Party (LP) are locked in a fierce battle for the soul of the nation. But who are the key players, and what forces are shaping this high-stakes contest?

The Key Contenders and Their Game Plans

Bola Ahmed Tinubu (APC) – The Master Strategist Under Pressure

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, a political juggernaut known for his strategic acumen, remains the face of the APC. With a vast network of loyalists across the country, he has built a reputation as a kingmaker. However, the reality of governance has hit hard. Many Nigerians feel that his administration has underperformed, struggling with economic instability, inflation, and policy missteps. As 2027 approaches, the question looms: will Tinubu run for re-election, and if so, can he convince Nigerians that he deserves a second term?

Atiku Abubakar (PDP) – The Relentless Challenger

Atiku Abubakar, a veteran of Nigerian politics, is once again positioning himself for another presidential bid. A businessman and political heavyweight, Atiku has a nationwide appeal, especially in the North. However, he carries the burden of past allegations of corruption and a perception of entitlement—some see him as a politician who believes the presidency is his birthright. His challenge will be to prove that he represents real change, not just another recycled option.

Peter Obi (Labour Party) – The Outsider Seeking a Stronger Coalition

Peter Obi, the former governor of Anambra State, became a sensation in 2023, riding on a wave of youth support and a call for a new political order. His anti-corruption stance and focus on progressive governance made him a formidable candidate. However, his campaign suffered from a lack of deep-rooted party structures nationwide. Learning from past mistakes, Obi is now seeking a coalition, understanding that a third force alone may not be enough to break the PDP-APC dominance. His next moves will determine whether he can turn his popularity into a decisive electoral victory.

A Power Struggle Marred by Violence and Intimidation

Beyond the strategies of individual candidates, the road to 2027 is already being shaped by violence and political intimidation. Reports of attacks on party supporters, candidates, and electoral officials are emerging, particularly in the South East and North West. The involvement of regional security outfits like Amotekun and Ebubeagu has added another layer of complexity to the contest, as political actors seek to control territories ahead of the elections.

Furthermore, criminal elements—often operating in conjunction with politicians—have infiltrated the process, using violence to suppress opposition and instill fear among voters. The stakes are high, and history has shown that when political ambitions collide, the Nigerian people often bear the brunt of the conflict.

The Deep-Rooted Hegemonic Tendencies of Nigerian Politics

The ongoing struggle for power in Nigeria is not just about individual ambitions—it is a reflection of deeper systemic issues that have plagued the country for decades. These hegemonic tendencies manifest in various ways:

• Elite Dominance: Nigeria’s political landscape has long been controlled by a small group of powerful individuals and families who use wealth, influence, and patronage to maintain their grip on power. New voices and young politicians struggle to break into this tightly controlled system.

• Party Politics Over People: Rather than prioritizing the needs of the citizens, Nigerian political parties often serve the interests of their leaders and financiers. The result? A system where political loyalty is rewarded over competence, and public office is seen as a means to amass wealth rather than serve.

• Identity Politics: Religion, ethnicity, and regional sentiments continue to dominate political discourse. Politicians exploit these divisions, using them to mobilize support while ignoring the real issues affecting Nigerians—poverty, insecurity, unemployment, and failing infrastructure.

The Path Forward: Can Nigeria Overcome These Challenges?

If Nigeria is to move beyond its cycle of power struggles, violence, and elite manipulation, a shift is needed. The electorate must demand more than empty promises and political theatrics. The focus should be on issue-based politics, transparency, and accountability rather than blind loyalty to political parties or ethnic affiliations.

The rise of a politically aware youth demographic offers a glimmer of hope. Social media and digital activism have given citizens a voice like never before, making it harder for politicians to operate without scrutiny. However, activism alone is not enough—Nigerians must translate their awareness into active participation in the electoral process, from voter registration to holding leaders accountable.

As 2027 approaches, the power struggle will intensify. Deals will be made, alliances will shift, and narratives will be crafted. But beyond the noise of campaign slogans and political maneuvering, one question remains: will Nigerians choose the status quo, or will they demand real change?

The battle for Nigeria’s future is underway. The outcome will shape the country for years to come.