
Former Ekiti State Governor Ayodele Fayose on July 26, 2025, predicted that the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) will finish fourth in the 2027 presidential election, citing internal divisions and declining influence.
Speaking on a Channels Television programme, Fayose attributed the party’s woes to leadership crises, including the prolonged tenure of acting National Chairman Umar Damagum, and defections to the All Progressives Congress (APC) and emerging coalitions. He estimated PDP’s 2023 vote share of 6.1 million (29%) could drop to below 2 million, placing it behind APC, Labour Party, and the African Democratic Congress (ADC).
Fayose’s prognosis follows the PDP’s NEC meeting on July 24, which set a November convention but failed to resolve factional disputes. Party stalwarts like Atiku Abubakar have dismissed the claim, arguing a unified front could reclaim power, pointing to 15 governorships.
Critics, however, note the PDP’s loss of 26 lawmakers since 2023, suggesting Fayose’s assessment reflects a realistic decline. The narrative of a faltering PDP is contentious, with its revival depending on unity and strategy, amid skepticism over Fayose’s motives given his past APC flirtations.